#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
#
5
0
5
1
0
K
i
l
o
m
e
t
e
r
s
R
o
a
d
s
R
i
v
e
r
s
 
a
n
d
 
S
t
r
e
a
m
s
L
a
k
e
s
h
o
r
e
W
e
e
k
 
o
f
 
O
n
s
e
t
#
1
 
-
 
2
#
2
 
-
 
4
#
4
 
-
 
6
#
6
 
-
 
7
#
7
 
-
 
8
#
8
 
-
 
1
2
1
 
-
 
3
.
1
6
5
3
.
1
6
5
 
-
 
5
.
3
3
5
.
3
3
 
-
 
7
.
4
9
5
7
.
4
9
5
 
-
 
9
.
6
6
1
9
.
6
6
1
 
-
 
1
1
.
8
2
6
W
e
e
k
 
o
f
 
O
n
s
e
t
Cholera cases by week of onset.  Note the east (darker) to west (lighter) movement of the epidemic.
A cholera outbreak occurred in a group of communities.
Each dot shows where the ill people lived (point).
The color of each dot represents the
Week of onset for the disease in each house (dark=early, light = late).
The smoothing then shows us that the epidemic moved from east (darker) to west (point).